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EWMA Control Chart

Exponentially Weighted Moving Average Chart

Parameters

Comma or newline separated

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0.20

Smaller λ = longer memory, more sensitive to slow drift

3.00

UCL/LCL = μ ± L·σ·√(…), typically 3

EWMA Formula

Zᵢ = λ·xᵢ + (1−λ)·Zᵢ₋₁

UCL/LCL = μ₀ ± L·σ·√(λ/(2−λ))·√(1−(1−λ)²ⁱ)

Z₀ = μ₀ (sample mean)

Process is out of control when Zᵢ exceeds UCL or LCL.

λ = 0.05–0.25 is most sensitive to small drifts (0.5σ–1.5σ).

Mean μ

11.580

Std Dev σ

1.304

Smooth λ

0.20

Signals

0

EWMA Trend Chart

No out-of-control signals detected. Process is in control.

Data Table

No.ObservedEWMAUCLLCLStatus
110.10011.284012.362710.7973OK
29.90011.007212.582310.5777OK
310.20010.845812.700510.4595OK
410.00010.676612.770010.3900OK
59.80010.501312.812510.3475OK
610.30010.461012.838910.3211OK
710.50010.468812.855510.3045OK
810.80010.535112.866010.2940OK
911.20010.668012.872710.2873OK
1011.50010.834412.877010.2830OK
1111.90011.047612.879710.2803OK
1212.10011.258012.881410.2786OK
1312.40011.486412.882510.2775OK
1412.20011.629112.883210.2768OK
1512.60011.823312.883710.2763OK
1612.90012.038712.884010.2760OK
1713.10012.250912.884210.2758OK
1813.30012.460712.884310.2757OK
1913.60012.688612.884410.2756OK
2013.20012.790912.884410.2756OK
Use Case

Temperature data from continuous chemical processes often exhibits strong autocorrelation, causing traditional Shewhart charts to produce excessive false alarms. The EWMA chart applies exponentially weighted smoothing to suppress random noise and is more sensitive to small process drifts (0.5σ~1.5σ), making it well suited for precision machining and semiconductor process monitoring.

Example

Set λ = 0.2, L = 3.054 (ARL₀ ≈ 500) Target μ₀ = 10.0, process std dev σ = 0.5 EWMA₀ = μ₀ = 10.0 Measurement X₁ = 10.6: EWMA₁ = 0.2 × 10.6 + 0.8 × 10.0 = 10.12 Measurement X₂ = 10.8: EWMA₂ = 0.2 × 10.8 + 0.8 × 10.12 = 10.256 UCL (steady-state) = μ₀ + L×σ×√(λ/(2-λ)) = 10.0 + 3.054×0.5×√(0.1111) = 10.51 → Point 8 EWMA exceeds UCL, triggering an alarm

Further reading: CUSUM and EWMA charts — detecting small shifts
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